Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 15.670036 17.701376 19.912230 22.499716 25.448282 28.707497 32.588457
2025-02-16 11.867855 14.461054 17.517581 21.396531 26.203291 31.983698 39.491444
2025-02-23 9.536179 12.366014 15.928243 20.764632 27.195578 35.502557 47.126465
2025-03-02 7.972923 10.895900 14.786045 20.380822 28.285098 39.148046 55.372003
2025-03-09 6.910029 9.883032 14.036156 20.318421 29.681482 43.277398 64.803018
2025-03-16 6.075479 9.044652 13.373707 20.222538 30.929666 47.266127 74.534229
2025-03-23 5.605571 8.659269 13.291241 20.931543 33.421901 53.386949 88.421142
2025-03-30 5.075613 8.103581 12.862056 21.011242 34.882713 58.013009 100.500959
2025-04-06 4.521812 7.436350 12.164799 20.541997 35.334216 60.969576 110.076530
2025-04-13 4.077038 6.892027 11.596529 20.200127 35.924657 64.185560 120.519747
2025-04-20 3.844184 6.677138 11.552492 20.753734 38.157493 70.595329 137.894250
2025-04-27 3.664107 6.531629 11.607024 21.480360 40.784399 78.055986 158.457379
2025-05-04 3.412875 6.239965 11.383278 21.691053 42.514037 84.148011 177.513573
2025-05-11 3.100692 5.803364 10.846922 21.237929 42.877890 87.582384 191.556602
2025-05-18 2.836084 5.428976 10.387737 20.880831 43.388920 91.391132 207.092786
2025-05-25 2.611332 5.108197 9.997459 20.614445 44.050867 95.606888 224.290720
2025-06-01 2.437336 4.870049 9.745383 20.604987 45.265593 101.207381 245.777520
2025-06-08 2.274549 4.637715 9.479761 20.531655 46.322097 106.588221 267.672813
2025-06-15 2.199661 4.580595 9.573132 21.263382 49.335299 117.015563 304.488402
2025-06-22 2.075262 4.404914 9.393510 21.349451 50.819636 123.936235 333.230773
2025-06-29 1.917692 4.141420 8.994578 20.874361 50.862481 127.238091 352.551620
2025-07-06 1.784731 3.919675 8.666221 20.527569 51.176202 131.269521 374.684444
2025-07-13 1.727058 3.862882 8.707968 21.091192 53.914769 142.146294 419.216286